As 2025 winds down and traders reset for 2026, debate is heating up over whether Bitcoin can stage a meaningful recovery in January. Despite recent bearish pressure, several analysts see setup conditions that echo Bitcoin’s pre-parabolic runs — and they’re watching January closely for confirmation.
One vocal proponent is crypto analyst Javon Marks, who argues Bitcoin’s chart is mirroring the 2016–2017 pattern that preceded a major parabolic move. Marks points to similar technical cues and bullish signals and tweeted that “$BTC is looking ready to absolutely GO 🚀…,” urging followers to watch for a breakout and retest sequence. In his view the path is simple: breakout, retest, then a large run — with a target he repeatedly cites around $125,333.87.
Not everyone is that optimistic in the short term. CoinCodex’s latest projection sees a more modest January outcome: a rise to roughly $91,505 by January 30, 2026 — about a 3.68% gain from current levels. Their technical summary at the time of last update (Dec 31, 2025 — 06:27 AM GMT+5) still reads bearish, and market sentiment remains subdued. The Fear & Greed Index was at 23 (Extreme Fear), Bitcoin posted 15 green days out of the last 30, and 30-day price volatility was 2.11%.
Takeaways for traders:
- Bull case: Chart patterns and bullish signals similar to 2016–2017 could presage a parabolic move if a confirmed breakout + successful retest occurs, with some analysts targeting ~$125k.
- Base/near-term case: Data services like CoinCodex expect a more conservative move toward the low-to-mid $90k area in January.
- Sentiment and risk: On-chain/technical indicators still show caution — Fear & Greed in Extreme Fear territory and moderate volatility suggest traders should manage position size and wait for confirmation.
As January opens, watch key support and resistance zones, volume on any breakout, and whether sentiment begins to shift from fear toward confidence. Whether Bitcoin follows a sprint to new highs or grinds higher more slowly, the first month of 2026 could be a pivotal test.
Also read: XRP Prediction For January 2026 and Shiba Inu Prediction For January 2026 for broader altcoin context.
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