A prominent crypto analyst says Cardano’s weekly chart has just triggered a SuperTrend sell signal — the same kind of flip that preceded a dramatic crash in 2022.
What happened
- Analyst Ali Martinez (posting on X) flagged a bearish reversal in Cardano’s SuperTrend on the 1-week timeframe. The SuperTrend is a popular trend-following indicator built on the Average True Range (ATR), which adjusts for volatility and plots a single line that acts as dynamic support or resistance. Price above the line = bullish; price below = bearish.
- According to the chart Martinez shared, ADA had been trading above the weekly SuperTrend through 2023, 2024 and much of 2025. That streak has ended: the indicator has now flipped to bearish on the weekly chart.
Why that matters
- The last time the weekly SuperTrend flipped in Cardano, it preceded the 2022 drawdown that saw ADA lose more than 80% of its value. That historical precedent is what’s driving concern now, though it does not guarantee a repeat outcome.
- Martinez also pointed out that Bitcoin’s weekly SuperTrend has flipped bearish recently. In the prior cycle, that same weekly flip for BTC coincided with a decline of more than 60%.
Price context
- ADA briefly rose above $0.48 last week but has pulled back to around $0.40 at the time of reporting.
Bottom line
- The weekly SuperTrend flip is a noteworthy technical warning flag because of how the indicator behaved in the prior bear market, but it’s one piece of the puzzle. Traders will be watching weekly closes, volume and broader market action to see whether this bearish signal develops into a sustained downtrend or is followed by renewed bullish momentum.
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