Hedera (HBAR) kicked off 2026 with momentum, hitting multi-week highs around $0.12 after spending December mostly below $0.11 following a mid-December breakdown under $0.12. Trading activity has picked up sharply: daily volume topped $166 million, a roughly 38% rise in the past 24 hours.
Why HBAR is moving
- Market flows: Traders and funds unwinding or rebalancing portfolios after the holidays, together with a renewed risk appetite, are helping lift a range of crypto assets — HBAR included.
- On-chain and real-world activity: Hedera’s network metrics show healthy usage, supported by enterprise partnerships and growing real-world asset tokenisation projects. Those fundamentals are reinforcing investor interest.
ETF interest could matter
Analysts point to growing ETF activity as a potential catalyst. Spot HBAR ETFs are recording modest but steady inflows: SoSoValue data puts ETF net assets at over $50 million, equal to more than 1.1% of HBAR’s circulating supply. Further approvals or larger ETF allocations could bring substantial regulated liquidity, making it easier for institutions to gain exposure.
Enterprise adoption and roadmap
Institutional adoption was the standout theme of 2025, and Hedera was no exception — the network advanced use cases across institutional-grade DeFi, verifiable AI, finance, supply chain, and tokenisation. Looking ahead, planned milestones such as expansion of the Governing Council and improved developer tooling are expected to accelerate ecosystem growth and use-case deployment.
Technical outlook
Technically, HBAR’s move above long-term resistance and a possible double-bottom around $0.10–$0.11 suggest bulls are reasserting control. Short-term targets cluster above the downtrend line near $0.13, a region that also aligns with the 50-day exponential moving average. If momentum continues, analysts point to potential upside toward $0.15–$0.20. Positive momentum in risk-on assets — memecoins saw big pumps (Pepe +35% cited) — could help lead an early advance.
Risks and support
Macroeconomic headwinds or a broader market reversal could blunt gains. Key support levels to watch are $0.10 and $0.079; a failure to hold those would weaken the bullish case.
Bottom line
HBAR’s jump to $0.12 reflects a mix of renewed market risk appetite, stronger on-chain activity, and growing institutional pathways such as ETFs. Continued ecosystem milestones and additional ETF interest could provide fuel for further gains, but broader market dynamics and macro risks remain key determinants of whether HBAR can sustain a rally toward $0.15–$0.20.
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